Working Paper by Mark Williamson and Tim Lenton We generalize a method of detecting an approaching bifurcation in a timeseries of a noisy system from the one dynamical variable to the multi dynamical variable case. For a system described by one dynamical variable, the perturbations away from the system’s fixed point caused by noise will […]
Working papers
Stakeholder Workshop Format
his attachment is the programme, timings and instructions for the first stakeholder workshop, 14 May in Exeter Stakeholder Programme
Working Paper: The challenge of communicating unwelcome climate messages
With the probability that global temperature rise can be kept below the 2°C target continuing to diminish, citizens as well as economic and political decision makers need to engage with knowledge about the likelihood and implications of severe future impacts, and the scale of mitigation required to avoid them, the likes of which few want […]