These publications arise from and cite the HELIX grant number of European Funding 603864
2021
Satoh, Y., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Pokhrel, Y., Boulange, J.E.S., Burek, P., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Schmied, H.M., Thiery, W. and Yokohata, T. (2021) A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessment. Environmental Research Letters, 16 104001
Harrison, S., Jones, D., Anderson, K., Shannon, S., and Betts, R.A. (2021) Is ice in the Himalayas more resilient to climate change than we thought?, Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography, 103:1, 1-7, DOI: 10.1080/04353676.2021.1888202
Mathison, C., Challinor, A. J., Deva, C., Falloon, P., Garrigues, S., Moulin, S., Williams, K., and Wiltshire, A. (2021) Implementation of sequential cropping into JULESvn5.2 land-surface model, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 437–471, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-437-2021
Marengo, J. A., Camarinha, P. I., Alves, L. M., Diniz, F., Betts, R. A. (2021) Extreme Rainfall and Hydro-Geo-Meteorological Disaster Risk in 1.5ºC, 2.0ºC and 4.0ºC global warming scenarios: An analysis for Brazil. Frontiers in Climate (in press)
Uhe, P., Mitchell, D., Bates, P. D., Allen, M. R., Betts, R. A., Huntingford, C., King, A. D., Sanderson, B. M., Shiogama, H. (2021) Method Uncertainty Is Essential for Reliable Confidence Statements of Precipitation Projections Journal of Climate 34(3), 1227–1240 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0289.1
2020
De Longueville, F.; Ozer, P.; Gemenne, F. et al. (2020) ‘Comparing climate change perceptions and meteorological data in rural West Africa to improve the understanding of household decisions to migrate’. Climatic Change. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02704-7
Khan, M.J.U.; Islam, A.K.M.S.; Bala, S.K. et al. (2020) ‘Changes in climate extremes over Bangladesh at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 4 °C of global warming with high-resolution regional climate modelling’. Theor Appl Climatol. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03164-w
2019
Parkes, B.; Cronin, J.; Dessens, O.; Sultan, B. (2019) ‘Climate change in Africa: costs of mitigating heat stress‘ Climatic Change doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02405-w
Rahman, S., Islam, A.K.M.S., Saha, P. et al. (2019) ‘Projected changes of inundation of cyclonic storms in the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna delta of Bangladesh due to SLR by 2100‘ J Earth Syst Sci 128: 145. doi.org/10.1007/s12040-019-1184-8
Schewe, J. et al (2019) ‘State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes‘ Nature Communications, Volume 10, article 1005, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6
2018
Alfieri, L., Dottori, F., Betts, R. A., Salamon, P., Feyen, L. (2018)’Multi-Model Projections of River Flood Risk in Europe under Global Warming.‘ Climate 2018, 6, 6 doi:10.3390/cli6010006
Barnett, J. and Adger, W. N. (2018) ‘Mobile worlds: choice at the intersection of demographic and environmental change. Annual Review of Environment and Resources Vol. 43
Bärring, L. and Strandberg, G. (2018) ‘Does the projected pathway to global warming targets matter?’ Environmental Research Letters, 13, 024029
Burton, C., Betts, R. A., Jones, C.D., Williams, K. (2018) ‘Will fire danger be reduced by using Solar Radiation Management to limit global warming to 1.5°C compared to 2°C?’ Geophysical Research Letters doi:10.1002/2018GL077848
D. (2018) “Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders” Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0257-z
Harrison, S., Kargel, J. S., Huggel, C., Reynolds, J., Shugar, D. H., Betts, R. A., Emmer, A., Glasser, N., Haritashya, U. K., Klimeš, J., Reinhardt, L., Schaub, Y., Wiltshire, A., Regmi, D. and Vilímek, V. (2018) “Climate change and the global pattern of moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods” The Cryosphere, 12, 1195-1209, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1195-2018
Jones, D. B., Harrison, S., Anderson, K., Betts, R. A. (2018) “Mountain rock glaciers contain globally significant water stores” Nature Research, Scientific Reports, 8, article number: 2834 doi:10.1038/s41598-018-21244-w
Koutroulis, A.G.; Papadimitriou, L.V.; Grillakis, M.G.; Tsanis, I.K.; Wyser, K.; Caesar, J.; Betts, R.A. (2018) “Simulating Hydrological Impacts under Climate Change: Implications from Methodological Differences of a Pan European Assessment ” Water, 10, 1331; https://doi.org/10.3390/w10101331
Mathison, C., Deva, C., Falloon, P., and Challinor, A. J. (2018) “Estimating sowing and harvest dates based on the Asian summer monsoon” Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 563-592, doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-563-2018
Mohammed, K., Islam, A. S., Islam, G. T., Alfieri, L., Khan, M. J. U., Bala, S. K., & Das, M. K. (2018).”Future Floods in Bangladesh under 1.5° C, 2° C, and 4° C Global Warming Scenarios” Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 23(12), 04018050
Naumann, G.; L. Alfieri, K. Wyser, L. Mentaschi, R. A. Betts, H. Carrao, J. Spinoni, J. Vogt, L. Feyen (2018) “Global Changes in Drought Conditions under Different Levels of Warming” Geophysical Research Letters doi 10.1002/2017GL076521
“Performance of pattern-scaled climate projections under high-end warming, part I: surface air temperature over land“J. Climate, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0780.1
Ostberg, S., Schewe, J., Childers, K., and Frieler, K. (2018) “Changes in crop yields and their variability at different levels of global warming” Earth Syst. Dynam. 9, 479-496 https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-479-2018
Parkes, B., Sultan, B. & Ciais, P. Climatic Change (2018) “The impact of future climate change and potential adaptation methods on Maize yields in West Africa” Climatic Change https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2290-3
Parkes, B., Defrance, D., Sultan, B., Ciais, P., Wang, X. (2018) “Projected changes in crop yield mean and variability over West Africa in a world 1.5 K warmer than the pre-industrial era” Earth Syst. Dynam, 9, 119-134, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-119-2018
Shannon, S., Smith, R., Wiltshire, A., Payne, T., Huss, M., Betts, R. A., Caesar, J., Koutroulis, A., Jones, D. and Harrison, S. (2018) “Global glacier volume projections under high-end climate change scenarios” The Cryosphere Discuss, doi.org/10.5194/tc-2018-35 in review, 2018
Impacts on terrestrial biodiversity of moving from a 2°C to a 1.5°C target” Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A. doi
Uddin, N.; Islam, A.K.M.S. ; Bala, S. Kumar; Islam, T.; Adhikary, S.; Saha, D.; Haque, S.; Fahad, G.R.; and Akter, R. (2018) “Mapping of Climate Vulnerability of the Coastal Regions of Bangladesh using Principal Component Analysis” Applied Geography, 102, 47-57
“Advancing national climate change risk assessment to deliver national adaptation plans”
Willner, S.N.; Levermann, A.; Zhao, F.; Frieler, K. (2018) “Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present level” Science Advances 4 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aao1914
2017
Alfieri, L.; B. Bisselink, F. Dottori, G. Naumann, A. de Roo, P. Salamon, K. Wyser, L. Feyen (2017) “Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world” Earth’s Future doi: 10.1002/2016EF000485
Challinor, A., Adger, N. W., Benton, T. (2017) “Climate risks across borders and scales” Nat. Clim. Change 7, 621–623, doi:10.1038/nclimate3380
Chang, J.; P. Ciais, X. Wang, S. Piao, G. Asrar, R. Betts, F. Chevallier, M. Dury, L. François, K. Frieler, A. García Cantú Ros, AJ Henrot, T. Hickler, A. Ito, C. Morfopoulos, G. Munhoven, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, S. Pan, S. Peng, R. Rafique, C. Reyer, C. Rödenbeck, S. Schaphoff, J. Steinkamp, H. Tian, N. Viovy, J. Yang, N. Zeng, F. Zhao (2017) “Benchmarking carbon fluxes of the ISIMIP2a biome models” Special Issue Article in Environmental Research Letters. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 045002
Chang, J.,Ciais, P., Viovy N., Soussana, J.-F., Klumpp, K., and Sultan, B., (2017) “Future productivity and phenology changes in European grasslands for different warming levels: implications for grassland management and carbon balance” Carbon Balance and Management, 12 doi: 10.1186/s13021-017-0079-8
Chen, M., Rashid Rafique, Ghassem R Asrar, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Philippe Ciais, Fang Zhao, Christopher P O Reyer, Sebastian Ostberg, Jinfeng Chang, Akihiko Ito, Jia Yang, Ning Zeng, Eugenia Kalnay, Tristram West, Guoyong Leng, Louis Francois, Guy Munhoven, Alexandra Henrot, Hanqin Tian, Shufen Pan, Kazuya Nishina, Nicolas Viovy, Catherine Morfopoulos, Richard Betts, Sibyll Schaphoff, Jörg Steinkamp and Thomas Hickler (2017) “Regional contribution to variability and trends of global gross primary productivity” Environmental Research Letters 12 (10)doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8978
Fahad, Md. G. R., Islam, A. K. M., Nazari, R., Hasan, A. M., Islam, T. G. M. and Bala, S. K. (2017), “Regional changes of precipitation and temperature over Bangladesh using bias-corrected multi-model ensemble projections considering high-emission pathways” Int. J. Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.5284
Frieler, K., R. A. Betts, E. Burke, P. Ciais, S. Denvil, D. Deryng, K. Ebi, T. Eddy, K. Emanuel, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S. N. Gosling, K. Halladay, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, V. Huber, C. Jones, V. Krysanova, S. Lange, H. K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, M. Mengel, I. Mouratiadou, H. Müller Schmied, S. Ostberg, F. Piontek, A. Popp, C. P. O. Reyer, J. Schewe, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, D. P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, L. Warszawski1, F. Zhao (2017) “Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming – simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project” Geoscientific Model Development doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2016-229
Frieler, Katja; Schauberger, Bernhard; Arneth, Almut; Balkovič, Juraj; Chryssanthacopoulos, James; Deryng, Delphine; Elliott, Joshua; Folberth, Christian; Khabarov, Nikolay; Müller, Christoph; Olin, Stefan; A. M. Pugh, Thomas; Schaphoff, Sibyll; Schewe, Jacob; Schmid, Erwin; Warszawski, Lila; Levermann, Anders (2017) “Understanding the weather signal in national crop‐yield variability” Earth’s Future doi:10.1002/2016ef000525
Gohar, Laila, J. Lowe J., Bernie, D. (2017). “The Impact of Bias Correction and Model Selection on Passing Temperature Thresholds: Timings of Passing Warming Levels” Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. doi:10.1002/2017JD026797
Grillakis, M. G., Koutroulis, A. G., Daliakopoulos, I. N., and Tsanis, I. K. (2017) “A method to preserve trends in quantile mapping bias correction of climate modeled temperature” Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 889-900, doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-889-2017. Supplement https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-889-2017-supplement
Hasan, M.A., Islam, A.K.M.S. & Akanda, A.S. (2017) “Climate projections and extremes in dynamically downscaled CMIP5 model outputs over the Bengal delta: a quartile based bias-correction approach with new gridded data” Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-4006-1
Islam, A.K.M. Saiful, Supria Paul, Khaled Mohammed, Mutasim Billah, Md. Golam Rabbani Fahad, Md. Alfi Hasan, G. M. Tarekul Islam, Sujit Kumar Bala (2017) “Hydrological response to climate change of the Brahmaputra basin using CMIP5 general circulation model ensemble” Journal of Water and Climate Change, jwc2017076 doi:10.2166/wcc.2017.076
Ito, Akihiko; Nishina, Kazuya; Reyer, Christopher & François, Louis & Henrot, Alexandra-Jane & Munhoven, Guy & Jacquemin, Ingrid & Tian, Hanqin & Yang, Jia & Pan, Shufen & Morfopoulos, Catherine & Betts, Richard & Hickler, Thomas & Steinkamp, Jörg & Ostberg, Sebastian & Schaphoff, Sibyll & Ciais, Philippe & Chang, Jinfeng & Rafique, Rashid & Zhao, Fang. (2017) “Photosynthetic productivity and its efficiencies in ISIMIP2a biome models: Benchmarking for impact assessment studies” Environmental Research Letters. 12 doi:085001. 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a19
Jones D.B., S. Harrison, K. Anderson, H.L. Selley, J.L. Wood, R.A. Betts (2017) “The distribution and hydrological significance of rock glaciers in the Nepalese Himalaya” Global and Planetary Change, 160, 2018, 123-142, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.11.005
Koutroulis, A.G., L.V. Papadimitriou, M.G. Grillakis, I.K. Tsanis, K. Wyser, R.A. Betts (2017) “Freshwater vulnerability under high end climate change. A pan-European assessment” Science of the Total Environment https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.074
Le Quéré, Corinne et al: Global Carbon Budget 2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2017-123
Lenton, Timothy M., V. Dakos, S. Bathiany, M Scheffer (2017) “Observed trends in the magnitude and persistence of monthly temperature variability” Nature doi:10.1038/s41598-017-06382-x
Mohammed, Khaled, A.K.M. Saiful Islam, M. Tarekul Islam, G & Alfieri, Lorenzo, Kumar Bala, Sujit, Khan, Md Jamal Uddin. (2017) “Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 °C global warming scenarios” Climatic Change doi 10.1007/s10584-017-2073-2.
Mohammed, Khaled, A. K. M. S. Islam, G. M. T. Islam, L. Alfieri, S. K. Bala, J. U. Khan (2017) “Impact of High-End Climate Change on Floods and Low Flows of the Brahmaputra River” Journal of Hydrologic Engineering (ASCE) 22, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001567
Monioudi, I. N., Velegrakis, A. F., Chatzipavlis, A. E., Rigos, A., Karambas, T., Vousdoukas, M. I., Hasiotis, T., Koukourouvli, N., Peduzzi, P., Manoutsoglou, E., Poulos, S. E., and Collins, M. B. (2017) “Assessment of island beach erosion due to sea level rise: the case of the Aegean archipelago (Eastern Mediterranean)” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 449-466, doi.10.5194/nhess-17-449-2017
Papadimitriou, L. V., Koutroulis, A. G., Grillakis, M. G., and Tsanis, I. K. (2017) “The effect of GCM biases on global runoff simulations of a land surface model” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 21, 4379-4401, doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4379-2017
Schauberger, Bernhard, Sotirios Archontoulis, Almut Arnet., Juraj Balkovic, Philippe Ciais, Delphine Deryng, Joshua Elliott, Christian Folberth, Nikolay Khabarov, Christoph Mülle., Thomas A. M. Pugh, Susanne Kolinsky, Sibyll Schaphoff, Erwin Schmid, Xuhui Wang, Wolfram Schlenker, Katja Frieler (2017) “Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models” Nature Communications 8, Article number: 13931 doi:10.1038/ncomms13931
Vousdoukas M. I., L. Mentaschi, E. Voukouvalas, M. Verlaan, L. Feyen (2017) “Extreme sea levels on the rise along Europe’s coasts” Earth’s Future 5, Issue 3 doi: 10.1002/2016EF000505
Williams, K., J. Gornall, A. Harper, A. Wiltshire, D. Hemming, T. Quaife, T. Arkebauer, D. Scoby (2017) “Evaluation of JULES-crop performance against site observations of irrigated maize from Mead, Nebraska” Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 1291-1320, 2017. doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1291-2017
Williamson, Mark S., M. Collins, S. S. Drijfhout, R. Kahana, J. V. Mecking, T. M. Lenton (2017) “Effect of AMOC collapse on ENSO in a high resolution general circulation model “Climate Dynamics doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3756-0
Zhao, F., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Frieler, K., Schewe, J., Ostberg, S., Willner, S., … Yamasaki, D. (2017) “The critical role of the routing scheme in simulating peak river discharge in global hydrological models” Environmental Research Letters, 12, 1-15. [075003]. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7250
2016
Alfieri, L., L. Feyen and G. Di Baldassarre (2016). “Increasing flood risk under climate change: a pan-European assessment of the benefits of four adaptation strategies.” Climatic Change 136(3-4): 507-521. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1641-1
Alfieri, L., L. Feyen, P. Salamon, J. Thielen, A. Bianchi, F. Dottori and P. Burek (2016). “Modelling the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe.” Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 16(6): 1401-1411. doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1401-2016
Anthoff, D., F. Estrada and R. S. J. Tol (2016). ‘Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation‘ American Economic Review 106(5): 602-606. doi:10.1257/aer.p20161102
Betts, R.A., C.D. Jones, J.R. Knight, R.F. Keeling and J.J. Kennedy (2016) ‘El Niño and a record CO2 rise.’ Nature Climate Change 6, 806–810 doi:10.1038/nclimate3063
Carrao, H., G. Naumann and P. Barbosa (2016). ‘Mapping global patterns of drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of hazard, exposure and vulnerability.’ Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 39: 108-124. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.012
Chang, J. F., P. Ciais, M. Herrero, P. Havlik, M. Campioli, X. Z. Zhang, Y. F. Bai, N. Viovy, J. Joiner, X. H. Wang, S. S. Peng, C. Yue, S. L. Piao, T. Wang, D. A. Hauglustaine, J. F. Soussana, A. Peregon, N. Kosykh and N. Mironycheva-Tokareva (2016). ‘Combining livestock production information in a process-based vegetation model to reconstruct the history of grassland management’ Biogeosciences 13(12): 3757-3776. doi:10.5194/bg-13-3757-2016
Chang, J. F., P. Ciais, N. Viovy, N. Vuichard, M. Herrero, P. Havlik, X. H. Wang, B. Sultan and J. F. Soussana (2016). “Effect of climate change, CO2 trends, nitrogen addition, and land-cover and management intensity changes on the carbon balance of European grasslands” Global Change Biology 22(1): 338-350. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13050
Dottori, F., P. Salamon, A. Bianchi, L. Alfieri, F. A. Hirpa and L. Feyen (2016). “Development and evaluation of a framework for global flood hazard mapping.” Advances in Water Resources 94: 87-102. doi: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2016.05.002
Geiger, Tobias, Katja Frieler and Anders Levermann (2016) “High-income does not protect against hurricane losses” doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084012
Lind, P., D. Lndstedt, E. Kjellstrom and C. Jones (2016). “Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Summer Precipitation over Central Europe in a Suite of High-Resolution Climate Models.” Journal of Climate 29(10): 3501-3518. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0463.1
Mengel, M., A. Levermann, K. Frieler, A. Robinson, B. Marzeion and R. Winkelmann (2016). “Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 113(10): 2597-2602. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1500515113
Mentaschi, L., Vousdoukas, M., Voukouvalas, E., Sartini, L., Feyen, L., Besio, G., and Alfieri, L. (2016) ‘The transformed-stationary approach: a generic and simplified methodology for non-stationary extreme value analysis’ Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3527-3547, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3527-2016
Mitchell, D.; James, R.; Forster, P.M.; Betts, R.A.; Shiogama, H. and Allen, M. (2016). ‘Realizing the impacts of a 1.5° C warmer world‘ Nature Climate Change, vol. 6, pages 735–737
Osborn, T. J., C. J. Wallace, I. C. Harris and T. M. Melvin (2016). ‘Pattern scaling using ClimGen: monthly-resolution future climate scenarios including changes in the variability of precipitation‘ Climatic Change 134(3): 353-369. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1509-9
Papadimitriou, L. V., A. G. Koutroulis, M. G. Grillakis and I. K. Tsanis (2016). “High-end climate change impact on European runoff and low flows – exploring the effects of forcing biases‘ Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20(5): 1785-1808. doi:10.5194/hess-20-1785-2016
Schleussner, C. F., T. K. Lissner, E. M. Fischer, J. Wohland, M. Perrette, A. Golly, J. Rogelj, K. Childers, J. Schewe, K. Frieler, M. Mengel, W. Hare and M. Schaeffer (2016). ‘Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5° C and 2°C‘ Earth Syst. Dynam. 7(2): 327-351. doi:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016
Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Joeri Rogelj, Michiel Schaeffer, Tabea Lissner, Rachel Licker, Erich M. Fischer, Reto Knutti, Anders Levermann , Katja Frieler, William Hare (2016) “Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal” Nature Climate Change, 6/9 doi:10.1038/nclimate3096
Velegrakis, A.F., Trygonis, V., Chatzipavlis, A.E. et al. (2016) “Shoreline variability of an urban beach fronted by a beachrock reef from video imagery” Nat. Hazards 83(Suppl 1): 201. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2415-9
Vousdoukas, M. I., Voukouvalas, E., Mentaschi, L., Dottori, F., Giardino, A., Bouziotas, D., Bianchi, A., Salamon, P., and Feyen, L. (2016.) “Developments in large-scale coastal flood hazard mapping” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1841-1853, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1841-2016
Vousdoukas, M.I., Voukouvalas, E., Annunziato, A. Giardino L. Feyen (2016) “Projections of extreme storm surge levels along Europe” Clim. Dynam. 47: 3171. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3019-5
Williamson, M. S., S. Bathiany and T. M. Lenton (2016) “Early warning signals of tipping points in periodically forced systems.” Earth Syst. Dynam. 7(2): 313-326. doi:10.5194/esd-7-313-2016
2015
Alfieri, L., L. Feyen, F. Dottori and A. Bianchi (2015). “Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios.” Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 35: 199-212. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.004
Alfieri, L., P. Burek, L. Feyen and G. Forzieri (2015). “Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe.” Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19(5): 2247-2260. doi:10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015
Boulton, C. A. and T. M. Lenton (2015). “Slowing down of North Pacific climate variability and its implications for abrupt ecosystem change.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112(37): 11496-11501. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1501781112
Caia, Yongyang, Kenneth L. Judd, Timothy M. Lenton, Thomas S. Lontzek and Daiju Naritae (2015) “Environmental tipping points significantly affect the cost-benefit assessment of climate policies” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 4606–4611, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1503890112
Chang, J. F., P. Ciais, N. Viovy, N. Vuichard, B. Sultan and J. F. Soussana (2015). “The greenhouse gas balance of European grasslands.” Global Change Biology 21(10): 3748-3761. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12998
Egbert H. van Nes1, Marten Scheer, Victor Brovkin, Timothy M. Lenton, Hao Ye, Ethan Deyle and George Sugihara (2015) “Causal feedbacks in climate change” Nature Climate Change 5(5) doi:10.1038/nclimate2568
Feldmann, J. and A. Levermann (2015). “Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet after local destabilization of the Amundsen Basin.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112(46): 14191-14196. doi:10.1073/pnas.1512482112
Feldmann, J. and A. Levermann (2015). “Interaction of marine ice-sheet instabilities in two drainage basins: simple scaling of geometry and transition time.” Cryosphere 9(2): 631-645. doi:10.5194/tc-9-631-2015
Friedlingstein, P. (2015). “Carbon cycle feedbacks and future climate change.” Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A-Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences 373(2054). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0421
Frieler, K., A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M. F. P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Doll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A. D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S. N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A. C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen and H. J. Schellnhuber (2015). “A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties.” Earth Syst. Dynam. 6(2): 447-460. doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015
Garcia-Carreras, L., A. J. Challinor, B. J. Parkes, C. E. Birch, K. J. Nicklin and D. J. Parker (2015). “The Impact of Parameterized Convection on the Simulation of Crop Processes.” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 54(6): 1283-1296. doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0226.1
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